Week 18 NFL Picks

Last Week: 9-7 / 5-11

Season: 163-93 / 127-129

Carolina (+2.5) @ Tampa Bay

CAR 20-17

Seattle @ San Francisco (+1.5)

SF 31-28

Detroit @ Chicago (-2.5)

CHI 27-20

Indianapolis @ Houston (-10)

HOU 24-7

Dallas (-4.5) @ NY Giants

DAL 31-17

Cleveland (+7.5) @ Cincinnati

CIN 21-16

New Orleans (+3) @ Atlanta

ATL 28-27

Green Bay (+6.5) @ Minnesota

GB 24-21

Tennessee @ Jacksonville (-12.5)

JAX 31-13

Arizona @ LA Rams (-7.5)

Rams 31-17

LA Chargers (+12.5) @ Denver

DEN 20-17

Kansas City @ Las Vegas (+5.5)

KC 20-17

Miami (+11.5) @ New England

NE 28-21

Washington (+7) @ Philadelphia

PHI 20-16

NY Jets @ Buffalo (-7)

BUF 31-13

Baltimore (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh

BAL 21-17

NFL Power Rankings: Week 18

I’ve got the flu, so I’m not able to do my fancy power rankings post. You’ll just have to make do with the basic rankings.

  1. Seahawks (13-3) -x
  2. 49ers (12-4) -x
  3. Jaguars (12-4) -x
  4. Patriots (13-3) -y
  5. Broncos (13-3) -y
  6. Bears (11-5) -y
  7. Texans (11-5) -x
  8. Eagles (11-5) -y
  9. Rams (11-5) -x
  10. Bills (11-5) -x
  11. Chargers (11-5) -x
  12. Ravens (8-8)
  13. Packers (9-6-1) -x
  14. Steelers (9-7)
  15. Panthers (8-8)
  16. Buccaneers (7-9)
  17. Vikings (8-8) -e
  18. Lions (8-8) -e
  19. Cowboys (7-8-1) -e
  20. Falcons (7-9) -e
  21. Colts (8-8) -e
  22. Bengals (6-10) -e
  23. Dolphins (7-9) -e
  24. Saints (6-10) -e
  25. Chiefs (6-10) -e
  26. Commanders (4-12) -e
  27. Browns (4-12) -e
  28. Titans (3-13) -e
  29. Giants (3-13) -e
  30. Cardinals (3-13) -e
  31. Jets (3-13) -e
  32. Raiders (2-14) -e

x- clinched playoff berth

y- clinched division

e- eliminated

Tis the Season to be Fired

Two teams, the Tennessee Titans and New York Giants have already begun their search for their next head coach, and in two weeks more will join them.

In this piece, I’ll look at those teams could be making changes after the season ends.

Those I’m Certain Will be Fired

Kevin Stefanski, Cleveland Browns. Photo Credit- Stephen Lew/ Imagn Images

Kevin Stefanski- Cleveland Browns

The Browns troubles stem mostly from the disastrous decision to acquire Deshaun Watson. How much input Stefanski had in that decision is unknown. What is known is that he will pay the price for it.

I wrote, earlier this season, that I thought the Browns would be foolish to part ways with the two time Coach of the Year, but my tune has changed.

The Browns are a mess offensively and that falls on Stefanski. I think it is obvious that Stefanski never wanted Shedeur Sanders as his quarterback. It took an injury to Dillon Gabriel for Stefanski to turn to Sanders and then it became obvious to all that Stefanski had been mistaken.

Sanders has had his rookie struggles, but he’s shown that he has a much higher ceiling as an NFL quarterback than Gabriel could ever hope to have. Stefanski’s stubborness in sticking with Gabriel as long as he did is what I think, ultimately, costs him his job.

Stefanski will be a head coach again, perhaps even as early as next season, and he will certainly be in demand as an offensive coordinator. The one question future teams should ask is how much input he had in choosing Watson over Baker Mayfield and whether he can develop a quarterback, since that question was never answered in Cleveland.

Pete Carroll, Las Vegas Raiders. Photo Credit- Matt Rourke/ Associated Press

Pete Carroll– Las Vegas Raiders

This season hasn’t unfolded the way the Raiders had hoped, and I certainly didn’t think they’d actually be worse with Carroll and with Geno Smith at quarterback than they were in 2024, but here we are.

The Raiders are in for a full rebuild and the fact that Pete Carroll is 74 years old begs the question if he has the juice to see it through.

When the Raiders hired Carroll it felt like the kind of move that was meant to change the culture of the team. The Raiders didn’t need to be torn down to the studs, they just needed to be fixed up. Carroll seemed perfect for the job, but then it just imploded.

It is no secret that Raiders minority owner, Tom Brady, coveted Ben Johnson, who ultimately chose the Chicago Bears. Pete Carroll was a fall back guy, when the job didn’t look as enormous as it now does.

It feels like an ignominious end for the coaching career of Pete Carroll, who has had great success in the NFL. To be a one and done with the Raiders seems almost unfair, but I just can’t imagine Vegas entrusting this rebuild to a coach that will be 75 early next season.

I think Tom Brady will be deeply involved in picking the next head coach that will be tasked with developing the new franchise quarterback they are sure to draft in April.

Those I Think Will be Fired

Mike McDaniel, Miami Dolphins. Photo Credit- Naji Saker/ The Oregonian/ Oregon Live

Mike McDanielMiami Dolphins

Early in the season I thought McDaniel was on the hottest seat, but Tennessee pulled the trigger first. I still thought McDaniel would be fired by Thanksgiving, then something funny happened.

The Dolphins started winning, and they got themselves back into playoff contention. McDaniel was saving his job before our very eyes. Two weeks ago, I’d have said he was safe, but then things turned again.

A couple ugly losses, elimination from the postseason and the benching of Tua Tagovailoa I now think that McDaniel is likely fired after the season.

This is because the Dolphins have a Tua problem. They cannot afford to release him and it’s highly unlikely that any team would trade for him, so Tua will be on this roster next season. What’s more is that there is a good chance he’ll be the starting quarterback, again.

Miami is not n a great position to draft a quarterback this year. Maybe they can bring in a veteran to compete, but the chances are likely that Tua would win any competition for the starting role against any quarterback currently on the roster or any they might be able to acquire.

This is purely speculative, on my part, but I don’t see a world in which both Tua Tagovailoa & Mike McDaniel are with the Miami Dolphins next season and finances tells me it’s easier to move on from McDaniel than from Tua.

Jonathan Gannon, Arizona Cardinals. Photo Credit- Jess Rapfogel/ Getty Images

Jonathan Gannon- Arizona Cardinals

Gannon had done an admirable job with the Cardinals. This was the least talented team in the NFL when he took over, and their franchise quarterback missed most of that first season recovering from a torn ACL, but Gannon had them playing hard.

There were signs of improvement last season and there was hope they’d take another step this season (I picked them to finish second to the Rams in the NFC West). After a 2-0 start, things unraveled fast.

In an ugly loss, at home, to the lowly Tennessee Titans, I think Gannon’s fate was sealed. When he physically accosted running back Emari Demercado on the sideline following the latter’s inexcusable brain melt, I think Gannon’s job was lost.

The Cardinals are similar to the Dolphins in that they’re financially tied to a quarterback that they can’t win with and they cannot afford to outright release.

The difference is that Arizona is in a position to draft a replacement for Kyler Murray, which then begs the question is Gannon the coach you want helping to make that choice and is he the one you want overseeing the rookie’s development. Remember, Gannon is a defensive coach.

My gut feeling tells me no. I think Arizona is in for a full reboot at the head coach and quarterback positions.

Raheem Morris, Atlanta Falcons. Photo Credit- Joe Camporeale/ Imagn Images

Raheem MorrisAtlanta Falcons

The Falcons have won a couple games down the stretch and they look likely to finish within a game of the division winner, but this doesn’t mask the fact that they’ve been eliminated since early December and they’ve been the most underachieving team in the NFL the past two seasons.

The fact is that they have too much talent on the offensive side of the ball to be playing meaningless games in December. Last season, that could be partially blamed on an atrocious defense and the collapse of Kirk Cousins. Those excuses don’t exist this year.

The defense added talent in the draft and they’ve been a much improved unit. Michael Penix Jr’s injury inserted Cousins back into the starting lineup and they’ve been winning games with him.

The Falcons have just been too inconsistent during Morris’ tenure. One week they look like legitimate contenders, the next they look like a team destined for the number one pick.

A month ago, I was certain that Atlanta would be searching for a new head coach, today I’m considerably less certain. My gut, however, tells me that the Falcons are still likely to fire Raheem Morris.

I Wouldn’t be Surprised

Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals. Photo Credit- Dylan Buell/ Getty Images

Zac TaylorCincinnati Bengals

I thought that Taylor might get a pass this season because of Joe Burrow’s injury, but the last month of the season has made me re-think that.

The Bengals were predictably horrible in Burrow’s absence, but when he returned on Thanksgiving, Cincinnati still had a shot in a very bad AFC North.

They whipped Baltimore and then were on the verge of upsetting the Bills in Buffalo before a couple freaky interceptions doomed them. Still, the AFC North was open for the taking.

Then, the offense no showed in a rematch with Baltimore and we got a glimpse of sad Joe Burrow.

Ultimately, I think Taylor’s fate is in Joe Burrow’s hands. If the franchise quarterback wants Taylor back, he’ll be back. If Burrow is unhappy, then Taylor will be gone.

I won’t be surprised by either outcome, but I will say that if he returns as the head coach of the Cincinnati Bengals, Zac Taylor will start the 2026 season atop the hot seat rankings.

Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas Cowboys. Photo Credit- Kevin Jairaj/ Imagn Images

Brian SchottenheimerDallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have been a disappointment this year, but an argument can be made that none of it is Schottenheimer’s fault. The offense, Schottenheimer’s forte, has been among the best in the NFL. Dallas’ troubles are on defense.

I think defensive coordinator, Matt Eberflus (pictured behind Schottenheimer, above), will be the one to take the fall for this season. The Cowboys defense showed signs of improvement after the trade deadline acquisitions of Quinnen Williams & Logan Wilson, only to regress in ‘gotta have it’ games versus Detroit & the LA Chargers.

The Cowboys real problems lie in the front office, but Jerry Jones will never take that blame on himself. I think Schottenheimer is, and should be, safe this year, but Jones has made impulsive moves at head coach before and nothing he does will truly shock me.

Aaron Glenn, New York Jets. Photo Credit- Megan Briggs/ Getty Images

Aaron Glenn– New York Jets

Despite the dumpster fire in New York, it feels like firing Aaron Glenn after one season would be unfair. The Jets, however, have a long history of making rash and unwise decisions.

After a couple mid-season trades, the Jets have a plethora of draft capital at their disposal. They should get another shot at landing their quarterback of the future and filling in other holes.

Just my opinion, but Aaron Glenn deserves another season in New York. I wouldn’t be surprised if, however, if the Jets move on.

Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Photo Credit- Kimberly P Mitchell/ USA Today Network via Imagn Images.

Todd Bowles- Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bowles wasn’t on my radar about being on the hot seat a month ago, but the collapse in Tampa has been so sudden and shocking that I have to believe some major changes could be coming.

Tampa still has a shot at winning the NFC South, as of this writing, and if they sneak into the playoffs, Bowles is most likely safe. If they miss the playoffs, however, I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets the axe.

I’d be Shocked, but There is a Chance

John Harbaugh, Baltimore Ravens. Photo Credit- Ric Tapia/ Getty Images

John HarbaughBaltimore Ravens

Let me be clear, there is zero chance John Harbaugh gets fired. The Ravens, however, have had such a disappointing season that changes have to be coming.

Harbaugh could decide to step down or he could transition into a front office role. I highly doubt that there is any chance he isn’t on the Baltimore sideline next season, but there is a sliver of doubt there.

Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts. Photo Credit- Michael Hickey/ Getty Images

Shane SteichenIndianapolis Colts

At one point, I had Steichen pacing the field in the race for Coach of the Year, so I would be shocked if he got fired after the season.

The Colts collapse has been so sudden and complete, however, that it feels like some head is going to roll.

The trade deadline acquisition of Sauce Gardner cost Indianapolis two first round draft picks and has really hamstrung the Colts moving forward. Since the trade, Indy has only won one game. They’ve lost Daniel Jones to an Achilles injury, putting a major question mark at the most vital position heading into 2026.

Going all in on half a season of good Daniel Jones play was questionable at the time, it looks worse now. If anyone is going to pay the price for the Colts collapse, it should probably be general manager Chris Ballard, but there is a non-zero chance Steichen doesn’t survive either.

Sean McDermott, Buffalo Bills. Photo Credit- Mark J Rebilas/ Imagn Images

Sean McDermottBuffalo Bills

There will be no Patrick Mahomes & the Kansas City Chiefs nor Lamar Jackson & the Baltimore Ravens, likely, in their path this year. The road to the Super Bowl is wide open for the Bills, and many expect them to take it all the way into February.

But, what if they don’t?

If Buffalo falls short of the Super Bowl, or worse falls short of the AFC Championship game, how safe is McDermott?

If Buffalo squanders their best chance in the McDermott era, the questions will get louder. Are they wasting Josh Allen’s prime with a middling head coach?

Week 17 NFL Picks

Last Week: 10-6 / 8-8

Season: 154-86 / 122-118

Dallas Cowboys (-7) @ Washington Commanders

Neither team has anything to play for, but Washington might be down to their third QB.

DAL 31-21

Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings (+6)

Lions need to win to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. Vikings are down to their third QB.

DET 28-24

Denver Broncos (-13.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs are playing out the string with their third string QB.

DEN 24-6

Houston Texans (+2.5) @ Los Angeles Chargers

Heavyweight battle in LA. Texans clinch a playoff berth with a win.

HOU 24-21

Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers (-2.5)

Packers can clinch a playoff spot with a win, Ravens are eliminated with a loss.

GB 20-16

Chicago Bears (+3) @ San Francisco 49ers

One team will keep their hopes alive for the #1 seed.

SF 35-33

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) @ Cleveland Browns

Steelers can clinch the division with a victory.

PIT 24-17

New England Patriots @ New York Jets (+13.5)

Total mismatch on paper, but I’m not laying two TDs.

NE 24-14

New Orleans Saints (-2.5) @ Tennessee Titans

Both teams have been bottom dwellers most of the season, but have shown signs of improvement. I think the Saints are further ahead in their rebuild.

NO 24-17

Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) @ Indianapolis Colts

Jaguars continue their march to a division title and possible #1 seed and complete the Colts collapse.

JAX 28-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Miami Dolphins (+5.5)

Buccaneers need this one more.

TB 24-21

Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers (+7.5)

Even at home I don’t see Carolina upsetting Seattle.

SEA 27-23

Arizona Cardinals (+7) @ Cincinnati Bengals

I expect an entertaining, high scoring affair between two eliminated teams.

CIN 38-34

New York Giants @ Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5)

Who scheduled this for the penultimate week of the season?

LV 11-9

Philadelphia Eagles @ Buffalo Bills (-1.5)

Buffalo needs a victory more.

BUF 23-20

Los Angeles Rams (-8.5) @ Atlanta Falcons

I expect the Rams to roll.

Rams 38-17

Trash Pandas: Week 16 Recap & Week 17 Preview

Week 16 Recap

Playoffs Round 1

Trash Pandas vs Achilles Heels

Vengeance is mine!

A loss to the Heels three weeks ago kept me from going undefeated in our division, and getting an extra first round pick next year. The Heels also bounced me from the playoffs two years ago. My track record against them hasn’t been good. As I said in the preview, they’ve been, quite literally, my Achilles heel. To advance by eliminating them is sweet.

It wasn’t an easy victory, it came down to Sunday night and one of the two players I had going went down with an injury and scored a big, fat zero.

I started Justin Herbert over Trevor Lawrence due to matchup and that is why I won. Herbert only outscored Lawrence by 8 points, and won the QB battle 48-32, but he also affected another position.

Because I was playing Herbert, and because Rome Odunze was out with an injury, I decided to put Herbert’s Chargers teammate, Quentin Johnston into my lineup and that is what ultimately led me to victory. Johnston put up 22 points and helped me win the WR battle by 7 points.

Jahmyr Gibbs didn’t have a great game, but he got a late TD and was able to muster 14 very important points. Unfortunately, TreVeyon Henderson went down with an injury without scoring a single point. I lost the RB battle by 4 points.

When Henderson went down I was still trailing by 8 points, fortunately I had Patriots kicker, Andy Borregales going and he came through with 18 points.

Brock Bowers didn’t have a huge game, but he did score a very valuable TD and won the TE matchup, 10-3.

Besides the Henderson injury, the other negatives this week were Marvin Harrison Jr mustering just a single point in his return to the lineup & my injury replacement and hunch start at flex, Audric Estime, managing just two points.

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers. Photo Credit- Kevin Jairaj/ Imagn Images

Week 17 Preview

Playoffs Round 2

Trash Pandas vs Shamrocks N Shenanigans

Projected Lineups & Reserves

Previous Matchup

Week 10 Result

Our previous encounter was a wild one. Jonathan Taylor had a monster game in Germany and I thought I was done, but then Gibbs & Henderson went off. For Henderson, it was his breakthrough game.

The Shamrocks were rolling before that loss and they stumbled a bit down the stretch. They were able to hold onto a playoff spot and last week they were very good.

They’re a formidable opponent and I’ll need to have some guys really outperform their projections.

My keys to the week:

  1. Trevor Lawrence- I’m going back to Lawrence because of matchup. Lawrence has been on a hot streak for the last month and I need that to continue.
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs– Henderson’s status is uncertain as of this writing, so I need Gibbs to have one of his big games.
  3. Dalton Schultz- Raiders are shutting down Brock Bowers for the season. I understand it, but it sucks for my fantasy team. Bowers had an excellent matchup and I cannot expect Schultz to hit Bowers’ ceiling, but I need him to produce like a normal TE1.
  4. Marvin Harrison Jr- I cannot afford to have Harrison have another dud this week. Fortunately, he has a great matchup & he needs to produce.

Playoff Picture: Week 17

AFC

1. DENVER BRONCOS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Kansas City Chiefs

vs Los Angeles Chargers

Denver controls their own destiny for the AFC West & the #1 seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Kansas City & Chargers loss clinches AFC West.

2. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at New York Jets

vs Miami Dolphins

Patriots have a favorable closing schedule.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs NY Jets & Bills loss clinches AFC East.

3. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Indianapolis Colts

vs Tennessee Titans

Jaguars got a statement win & stayed in the hunt for the #1 seed.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Indianapolis & Texans loss clinches AFC South.

4. PITTSBURGH STEELERS (9-6)

Remaining Schedule

at Cleveland Browns

vs Baltimore Ravens

Steelers are peaking at the right time.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Cleveland or Ravens loss clinches AFC North.

#5 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Houston Texans

at Denver Broncos

Chargers clinched a playoff spot and still have eyes on the division title.

6. BUFFALO BILLS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Philadelphia Eagles

vs New York Jets

Bills are in, but still looking to improve their seed.

7. HOUSTON TEXANS (10-5)

Remaining Schedule

at Los Angeles Chargers

vs Indianapolis Colts

Texans nearly stumbled, but they’re on the verge of clinching a playoff spot and still have a shot at the division.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs LA Chargers or Colts loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Jacksonville Jaguars

at Houston Texans

Colts playoff hopes are hanging by a thread.

9. BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-8)

Remaining Schedule

at Green Bay Packers

at Pittsburgh Steelers

Ravens playoff chances are on life support.

Games to Watch

Week 17Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Houston clinches with a win. Both teams need a win to keep their division hopes alive.

Week 17Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

Baltimore is eliminated with a loss. Green Bay clinches a playoff spot with a win.

Week 17Philadelphia Eagles @ Buffalo Bills

Buffalo needs a victory to keep their division hopes alive.

Week 18Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos

This one has the potential to decide the AFC West & the number one seed.

Week 18Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The AFC North always seems to come down to these two and it certainly appears as if this final week matchup will settle it once again.

My AFC Picks

  1. New England Patriots (14-3) AFC East Champions
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) AFC South Champions
  3. Denver Broncos (13-4) AFC West Champions
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7) AFC North Champions
  5. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
  6. Houston Texans (12-5)
  7. Los Angeles Chargers (12-5)

NFC

1. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (12-3) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Carolina Panthers

at San Francisco 49ers

Seahawks have vaulted into the driver’s seat in the NFC.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Carolina & Rams loss & 49ers loss clinches NFC West.

2. CHICAGO BEARS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at San Francisco 49ers

vs Detroit Lions

Bears are in, now they look to sew up the division.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs San Francisco or Packers loss clinches NFC North.

3. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (10-5) -y

Remaining Schedule

at Buffalo Bills

vs Washington Commanders

Eagles have clinched NFC East.

4. CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

vs Seattle Seahawks

at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina has the edge in the NFC South, for now.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Seattle & Buccaneers loss clinches NFC South.

5. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

vs Chicago Bears

vs Seattle Seahawks

Niners control their own destiny for the division and the number one seed.

6. LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-4) -x

Remaining Schedule

at Atlanta Falcons

vs Arizona Cardinals

Rams have fallen all the way down to sixth and made their playoff road that much harder.

7. GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-5-1)

Remaining Schedule

vs Baltimore Ravens

at Minnesota Vikings

Packers may have lost their chance at the division, but they should still make the playoffs.

Clinching Scenario- Win vs Baltimore or Lions loss clinches a playoff berth.

8. DETROIT LIONS (8-7)

Remaining Schedule

at Minnesota Vikings

at Chicago Bears

Detroit is on life support.

9. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-8)

Remaining Schedule

at Miami Dolphins

vs Carolina Panthers

Tampa is still in decent shape to win the NFC South.

Eliminated This Week

10. DALLAS COWBOYS (6-8-1)

Games to Watch

Week 17Chicago Bears @ San Francisco 49ers

This game has huge seeding implications for both teams.

Week 17Baltimore Ravens @ Green Bay Packers

Packers are in with a win & Baltimore and Detroit are eliminated.

Week 17Seattle Seahawks @ Carolina Panthers

Both teams looking to strengthen their grasp on their respective divisions.

Week 18Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This game likely decides the NFC South and the final playoff spot.

Week 18Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers

This one could decide the NFC West and determine the #1 seed.

My NFC Picks

  1. San Francisco 49ers (13-4) NFC West Champions
  2. Chicago Bears (12-5) NFC North Champions
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) NFC East Champions
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) NFC South Champions
  5. Seattle Seahawks (13-4)
  6. Los Angeles Rams (13-4)
  7. Green Bay Packers (11-5-1)

x- denotes clinched playoff berth

y- denotes clinched division

NFL Power Rankings: Week 17

#1 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (12-3) +2

Previous: #3, won vs #1 LA Rams, 38-37

Seahawks engineered a big comeback against the Rams & are now in the driver’s seat in the NFC.

Upcoming: at #14 Carolina

#2 LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-4) -1

Previous: #1, lost at #3 Seattle, 38-37

I still think the Rams are the best team in the NFL, but they’ve made it really hard on themselves.

Upcoming: at #22 Atlanta

#3 SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (11-4) +4

Previous: #7, won at #18 Indianapolis, 48-27

If the Niners win their last two games they will claim the #1 seed in the NFC.

Upcoming: vs #7 Chicago

#4 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (11-4) +7

Previous: #11, won at #2 Denver, 34-20

I believe Jacksonville may be the best team in the AFC.

Upcoming: at #18 Indianapolis

#5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (12-3) -1

Previous: #4, won at #15 Baltimore, 28-24

Patriots have a great chance to claim the #1 seed in the AFC, I’m just not sure I trust them in the playoffs.

Upcoming: at #29 NY Jets

#6 DENVER BRONCOS (12-3) -4

Previous: #2, lost vs #11 Jacksonville, 34-20

Denver still has the top seed and they have the defense to win a championship, but I don’t trust Bo Nix and that offense.

Upcoming: vs #11 Jacksonville

#7 CHICAGO BEARS (11-4) +1

Previous: #8, won vs #10 Green Bay, 22-16

Bears pulled off an epic comeback and seized control of the NFC North & still have a shot at the #1 seed.

Upcoming: at #3 San Francisco

#8 HOUSTON TEXANS (10-5) -3

Previous: #5, won vs #32 Las Vegas, 23-21

Much like Denver, I trust the Houston defense but not CJ Stroud and the Texans offense.

Upcoming: at #11 LA Chargers

#9 BUFFALO BILLS (11-4) -3

Previous: #6, won at #31 Cleveland, 23-20

Many think the AFC is set up for Buffalo to finally make a Super Bowl, I am not one of those.

Upcoming: vs #10 Philadelphia

#10 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (10-5) -1

Previous: #9, won at #26 Washington, 29-18

Philly clinched the NFC East and can be no worse than the #3 seed.

Upcoming: at #9 Buffalo

#11 LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (11-4) +1

Previous: #12, won at #20 Dallas, 34-17

Chargers have clinched a playoff berth despite a rash of injuries to their offensive line.

Upcoming: vs #8 Houston

#12 PITTSBURGH STEELERS (9-6) +2

Previous: #14, won at #13 Detroit, 29-24

Pittsburgh is playing their best football at the right time of the season.

Upcoming: at #30 Cleveland

#13 GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-5-1) -3

Previous: #10, lost at #8 Chicago, 22-16

Packers dropped a heartbreaker and have little chance to win the division, but they’re still in a strong position to make the playoffs.

Upcoming: vs #16 Baltimore

#14 CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-7) +2

Previous: #16, won vs #17 Tampa Bay, 23-20

Panthers are in the driver’s seat in the NFC South, for now.

Upcoming: vs #1 Seattle

#15 DETROIT LIONS (8-7) -2

Previous: #13, lost vs #14 Pittsburgh, 29-24

Detroit’s playoff hopes are on life support.

Upcoming: at #19 Minnesota

#16 BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-8) -1

Previous: #15, lost vs #4 New England, 28-24

Ravens playoff hopes barely have a pulse.

Upcoming: at #13 Green Bay

#17 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-8)

Previous: #17, lost at #16 Carolina, 23-20

Tampa’s collapse has been stunning, but they still have a decent shot to win the NFC South.

Upcoming: at #23 Miami

#18 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-7)

Previous: #18, lost vs #7 San Francisco, 48-27

Indy’s collapse isn’t all on the injury to Daniel Jones.

Upcoming: vs #4 Jacksonville

#19 MINNESOTA VIKINGS (7-8)

Previous: #19, won at #29 NY Giants, 16-13

Vikings are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #15 Detroit

#20 DALLAS COWBOYS (6-8-1)

Previous: #20, lost vs #12 LA Chargers, 34-17

Cowboys are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #26 Washington

#21 CINCINNATI BENGALS (5-10) +4

Previous: #25, won vs #21 Miami, 45-21

Bengals are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #28 Arizona

#22 ATLANTA FALCONS (6-9) +1

Previous: #23, won at #27 Arizona, 26-19

Falcons are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #2 LA Rams

#23 MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-9) -2

Previous: #21, lost vs #25 Cincinnati, 45-21

Dolphins are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #17 Tampa Bay

#24 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (5-10)

Previous: #24, won vs #28 NY Jets, 29-6

Saints are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #27 Tennessee

#25 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (6-9) -3

Previous: #22, lost at #30 Tennessee, 26-9

Chiefs are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #6 Denver

#26 WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (4-11)

Previous: #26, lost vs #9 Philadelphia, 29-18

Commanders are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #20 Dallas

#27 TENNESSEE TITANS (3-12) +3

Previous: #30, won vs #22 Kansas City, 26-9

Titans are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #24 New Orleans

#28 ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-12) -1

Previous: #27, lost vs #23 Atlanta, 26-19

Cardinals are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #21 Cincinnati

#29 NEW YORK JETS (3-12) -1

Previous: #28, lost at #24 New Orleans, 29-6

Jets are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #5 New England

#30 CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-12) +1

Previous: #31, lost vs #6 Buffalo, 23-20

Browns are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #12 Pittsburgh

#31 NEW YORK GIANTS (2-13) -2

Previous: #29, lost vs #19 Minnesota, 16-13

Giants are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: at #32 Las Vegas

#32 LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (2-13)

Previous: #32, lost at #5 Houston, 23-21

Raiders are eliminated from playoff contention.

Upcoming: vs #31 NY Giants

Week 16 NFL Picks

Last Week: 8-8 / 4-12

Season: 144-80 / 114-110

Los Angeles Rams (-1.5) @ Seattle Seahawks

I won’t be shocked if Seattle wins this heavyweight battle, but I think the Rams take control of the NFC here.

Rams 24-20

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington Commanders

I’m not sure Philly has completely solved their offensive woes, but they have enough to handle Washington and wrap up the NFC East.

PHI 28-17

Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (+1.5)

I liked the Bears to avenge their loss from two weeks ago before Micah Parsons went down. I like them even more now.

CHI 28-20

New York Jets @ New Orleans Saints (-4.5)

Saints have fought hard pretty much all season, the Jets have not.

NO 23-17

Buffalo Bills (-10) @ Cleveland Browns

This one will never be in doubt, Bills roll.

BUF 38-10

Kansas City Chiefs @ Tennessee Titans (+3.5)

The Chiefs are eliminated and lost Mahomes. First time I’m picking the Titans to win all season.

TEN 24-23

Los Angeles Chargers (+1.5) @ Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys could be eliminated before kickoff, the game will mean more to LA.

Chargers 31-24

Minnesota Vikings (-3) @ New York Giants

Battle of eliminated teams, I think the Vikings have the momentum.

MIN 24-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers (+3)

First of two battles to decide the NFC South, I’ll take the Panthers at home.

CAR 17-14

Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins (+2.5)

Both teams are eliminated, but I think Miami has more fight in them.

MIA 30-28

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos (-3)

Big matchup in Mile High, the Broncos clinch the AFC West with a win.

DEN 20-16

Atlanta Falcons @ Arizona Cardinals (+2.5)

Both teams are eliminated, call it a hunch but I like Arizona at home.

ARZ 27-24

Las Vegas Raiders @ Houston Texans (-14.5)

I’m tempted to pick the Texans in a shutout here, but I’ll give Vegas a touchdown.

HOU 28-7

Pittsburgh Steelers (+7) @ Detroit Lions

Lions need the win more and they’re at home.

DET 24-20

New England Patriots (+3) @ Baltimore Ravens

Are the young Patriots ready to win a December road game against a playoff caliber opponent? I am not so sure.

BAL 19-17

San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts (+6)

Niners clinch a playoff spot with a win.

SF 24-20

Trash Pandas: Week 15 Recap & Week 16 Preview

Week 15 Recap

Trash Pandas vs Lancaster Lightning

Wow! I love fantasy football!

I thought, for sure, that I lost this week after Kyle Pitts had an all-time tight end fantasy game on Thursday night, but then the Sunday one o’clock window came.

Trevor Lawrence had a game for the ages. SIX total touchdowns & 70 points! He won the QB matchup by 28 and gets my MVP.

I won the RB duel 55-4 despite Jahmyr Gibbs only putting up 5 points because TreVeyon Henderson exploded for 50!

Wide receiver was an issue for me going into the week as my top two, Rome Odunze & Marvin Harrison Jr, both missed the previous game. Harrison was ruled out again, but Odunze was slated to go. Two minutes before kickoff, Odunze gets ruled out but he was already locked into my lineup. It could have been catastrophic, but ended up not hurting me, though I lost the WR battle, 34-8.

The TE battle was a bloodbath as Brock Bowers had a complete dud, while Pitts had a monster game. I lost this matchup, 41-4.

Dalton Schultz won the flex battle, 14-8.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense pitched a shutout and won the team defense matchup by 31 points.

The final score became a lot closer because I got crushed at kicker, 48-7.

This epic win, coupled with a loss by the division leader vaulted me into first place in the division and the #2 overall seed for the playoffs.

Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars. Photo Credit- Phelan M. Ebenhack/ Associated Press

Week 16 Preview

Playoffs Round 1

Trash Pandas vs Achilles Heels

Projected Lineups & Reserves

Previous Matchups

Week 1 Result
Week 13 Result

For the second time in three seasons the Pandas & Heels face off three times in a season. My opponent has, quite literally, been my Achilles heel, as I have a 1-6 record versus them. My only win coming in week one this season.

We split the season series this year and, coincidentally, also scored the exact same amount of points in the two matchups. My loss in week 13 was my only division loss of the season.

This is projected to be another close one. I need to keep an eye on my receivers as I have injury issues with all of them.

My keys to the week:

  1. Justin Herbert- Even after Trevor Lawrence’s monster game, Herbert moves back into my starting lineup because he has a much better matchup than Lawrence. Don’t make me regret it.
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs & TreVeyon Henderson- I feel like I have a distinct advantage at RB, especially since I think Devon Achane is projected way too high. If Gibbs & Henderson perform like they’re capable of, they could carry me to the next round.
  3. Rome Odunze & Luther Burden III- One of the Bears receivers needs to be healthy for me, it would be even better if Marvin Harrison Jr was as well. I need my receivers not to squander any advantage my RBs might have.
  4. Dalton Schultz– My stud TE, Brock Bowers, has a terrible matchup but I’m still playing him because I just can’t not. I’m also playing his counterpart, Schultz, because he has a much better matchup. It would be huge if my TE2 wins the flex battle.